Physics of Biology

2010 Submissions

[2] viXra:2010.0235 [pdf] replaced on 2020-10-29 20:09:25

A Way to Fight CoronaVirus

Authors: Emanuel Gluskin
Comments: 2 Pages. I would like to interest serious laboratories studying the disease, and would be happy to participate a common research.

A method for fighting the pandemia is proposed, based on allowing an antagonism between the molecules of CoronaVirus [1]
Category: Physics of Biology

[1] viXra:2010.0067 [pdf] submitted on 2020-10-10 11:46:12

Predictive Mathematical Models of the Covid–19 Pandemic in Ode/sde Framework

Authors: Marcello Colozzo
Comments: 23 Pages. [Non-conforming header blocked by viXra Admin]

This article proposes a viral diffusion model (like Covid-19 pandemic) in the ordinary differential equations (ODE) and stochastic differential equations (SDE) framework. The classic models based on the logistic map are analyzed, and then a noise term is introduced that models the behavior of the so-called deniers. This model fairly faithfully reproduces the Italian situation in today’s period. We then move on to local analysis, arriving at an equation of continuity for what concerns the density of the number of infected in an assigned region. We, therefore, prove a Theorem according to which classical logistics is the most catastrophic of predictions. In a realistic scenario, it is necessary to take into account the inevitable fluctuations in the aforementioned density. This implies a fragmentation of the initial cluster (generated by “patient zero”) into an N disjoint sub clusters. For very large N, statistical analysis suggests the use of the two-point correlation function (and more generally, n-points). In principle, an estimate of this function makes it possible to determine the evolution of the pandemic. The distribution of the sub clusters could be fractal, exactly as it happens for the distribution of galaxies starting from a homogeneous and isotropic primordial universe, but with random fluctuations in matter density. This is not surprising, since due to the invariance in scale, fractals have a low “computational cost”. The idea that pandemics are cyclical processes, that is, they occur with a given periodicity, would therefore remain corroborated.
Category: Physics of Biology